---
title: "Hasashen da ba su taba tabbata ba a duniyar Crypto"
description: "Wannan makalar za ta mayar da hankali ne a kan wasu fitattun hasashen crypto da suka gaza tabbata — musamman ma wadanda suka fito daga manyan mutane da kungiyoyi."
language: ha
published: 2026-04-02
author: Netts
topic: "Insights"
canonical: https://netts.io/blog/predictions-that-never-came-true-in-the-world-of-crypto?lang=ha
languages: [en, ru, es, zh, th, fr, uk, tr, hi, fa, ar, ha, pt, vi, ko, ja, id, de, tl]
translation_outdated: false
---
# Hasashen da ba su taba tabbata ba a duniyar Crypto

Wannan makalar za ta mayar da hankali ne a kan wasu fitattun hasashen crypto da suka gaza tabbata — musamman ma wadanda suka fito daga manyan mutane da kungiyoyi.

An yi alkawarin cewa zai zama dandali na hasashe masu ban mamaki da kuma jita-jita marasa tushe, kuma ya yi nasara, na ɗan gajeren lokaci, wajen cika wannan alkawarin. Tun daga farkon kwanakin Bitcoin har zuwa sabbin ci gaba a fannin blockchain, ba a rasa hasashe game da makomar kadarorin dijital (digital assets) daga masana, shahararrun mutane, da kuma manyan hukumomi ba. Waɗannan hasashe sun fito ne tun daga masu cike da kyakkyawan fata har zuwa masu ban tsoro, amma dukansu suna da abu ɗaya da ya haɗa su: ba su taba faruwa ba.

Wannan makalar za ta mayar da hankali ne kan wasu fitattun hasashen crypto waɗanda suka gaza tabbata — musamman waɗanda suka fito daga manyan mutane da hukumomi. Za mu kuma ga yadda ra'ayin jama'a ya riƙa sauyawa tsawon shekaru, da kuma dalilin da ya sa a ƙarshe, abu ɗaya tilo da aka tabbatar a harkar crypto shi ne rashin tabbas.

## Mafarkin Bitcoin na Dalar Amurka Miliyan Ɗaya da Sauran Hasashen Farashi na Karya

Ɗaya daga cikin hasashen da aka fi maimaitawa a duniyar crypto shi ne hasashen farashi. An yi alkawarin cewa Bitcoin da sauran agogon crypto za su kai wasu manyan lambobi tsawon shekaru. Ga wasu daga cikin fitattun misalan da muka zaɓa:

1. Shahararren kiran da John McAfee ya yi a shekarar 2017 cewa Bitcoin zai kai dala miliyan 1 a ƙarshen shekarar 2020. Ba wai kawai hakan bai faru ba, amma bayan 'yan makonni McAfee ya amince cewa dabarar tallata kansa ce kawai, kuma farashin Bitcoin bai taɓa kusantar wannan darajar ba.

2. Tom Lee na Fundstrat Global Advisors ya sha yin hasashen cewa Bitcoin zai kai dala 25,000 a ƙarshen shekarar 2018, amma a waccan shekarar, maimakon haka, Bitcoin ya ƙare a ƙasa da dala 4,000.

3. Hasashen cewa Bitcoin zai kai dala 175,400 a shekarar 2023 daga mai tasiri (influencer) Defitology a 2022. Gaskiyar lamarin? A waccan shekarar Bitcoin ya kai kololuwa ne a dala 44,800.

4. Masu bincike a Race Capital sun yi hasashen sabbin matsayi na sama ga Bitcoin a shekarun 2023 da 2024, amma kasuwar ta bayyana kamar ta maƙale ne tsakanin kewayon dala 19,000 zuwa 21,000.

Waɗannan hasashe marasa gaskiya ba kawai akan Bitcoin ba ne.

Wani tsohon hasashen shi ne cewa Ethereum zai zarce Bitcoin ta fuskar darajar kasuwa (wani lamari da aka sani da "the flippening"). Duk da sanarwa marasa adadi daga magoya baya da wasu manazarta cewa hakan zai faru a shekarar 2024 ko 2025, rinjayen Bitcoin bai taba karyewa ba, inda darajarsa ta kasuwa ta kasance fiye da ninki uku na ta Ethereum.

Labarin hasashen farashi da ba su cika ba ba labari ne na lambobi kawai ba. Tare da kowace kakar hauhawar farashi (bull cycle), ana samun sabon fata, inda masu fada-a-ji (influencers) da manazarta ke kokarin zarce juna wajen bayar da mafi girman farashin da ake hari. Ana kara rura wutar wadannan muryoyi a kafofin sada zumunta inda hasashe mafi tsanani ke samun kulawa sosai a cikin wani yanayi na rudani. Takaici ba makawa ne idan gaskiya ba ta zo daidai da hayaniyar da aka yi ba — duk da haka, sake zagayowar tana sake farawa. Wannan al'ada ta hasashen kasada wani bangare ne na harkar crypto, ba kuskure ba ne, kuma shi ne ya sa ta kasance mai ban sha'awa — kuma wataƙila mai hatsari sosai.

Shahararrun mutane sun dade da shiga harkar crypto, inda akasari suka yi amfani da sunayensu da fuskokinsu wajen tallata ayyukan da suka yi alkawarin abubuwan da ba za su taba yiwuwa ba. Abin takaici, yawancin wadannan tallace-tallace sun kare ne da takaici ko badakala. Daga cikin mafi shahara akwai:

A wani misali sananne, Floyd Mayweather da DJ Khaled sun tallata wani ICO daga Centra Tech wanda daga baya ya zama damfara. Mayweather da Khaled sun fuskanci karar hadin gwiwa (class-action lawsuit) saboda rashin bayyana alfanun kudi da suka samu, wanda hakan ya sa masu zuba jari suka yi asarar miliyoyin daloli.

Hawan farashin EthereumMax (EMAX) na baya — wanda wani sako na tallatawa mai ban mamaki daga Kim Kardashian zuwa ga miliyoyin mabiyanta na Instagram ya rura wuta a tsakiyar shekarar 2021 — nan da nan ya biyo baya da wani mummunan faduwar farashi mai ban tsoro. Rubutun ya sa Kardashian ta biya tarar dala miliyan 1.26 ga hukumar SEC saboda rashin bayyana cewa an biya ta dala 250,000 don yin rubutun.

![](https://netts.io/blog/articles/predictions-that-never-came-true-in-the-world-of-crypto/images/1_2.png)

Musayar FTX ta yi farin cikin samun jakadunta, fitattun 'yan wasa a duniya Tom Brady da Stephen Curry. Masu zuba jari sun kai karar su duka biyun, inda suke zargin cewa goyon bayan da taurarin suka bayar ya yaudare su lokacin da FTX ta ruguje a shekarar 2022.

Fitar da NFT na Mike Tyson, wanda aka yi tsammanin zai zama babban al'amari, ya fadi da kashi 90% a darajarsa a kasuwar gaskiya da zarar hayaniyar ta lafa. Wadannan shari'o'in tunatarwa ne cewa goyon bayan shahararrun mutane ba koyaushe yake zama nasara ba a duniyar crypto.

Kuma misalan gazawar shahararrun mutane ba su tsaya a nan ba. Paris Hilton da Lindsay Lohan suna cikin taurarin da suka kaddamar da ayyukan NFT wadanda suka ruguje da sauri. Sakamakon haka, masoya da masu zuba jari da dama sun rage da kadarorin dijital wadanda darajarsu ta fadi cikin sauri. Darasin da aka koya: ba duk shahararrun mutane ne ke da basira da kudinsu ba, kuma hayaniya ba ta nufin inganci.

## Kura-kuran Hukumomi da Sauyin Ra'ayoyi

Ba daidaikun mutane ne kawai suka yi hasashe mai karfi game da makomar crypto ba. Lokacin da manyan hukumomin kudi da shugabanninsu suka bayar da tasu gudunmawar, sau da yawa suna yin kuskure sosai.

Shugaban JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, an san shi da hasashensa na shekarar 2017 inda ya yi watsi da Bitcoin a matsayin zamba da kuma hasashen rugujewarsa.

Bitcoin ba wai kawai ya tsira ba ne, har ma ita kanta bankin JPMorgan ta ci gaba da kaddamar da ayyuka da kayayyaki masu alaka da crypto, wanda hakan ya nuna yadda suka rungumi fasahar da suka taba rainawa.

Mashahurin mai saka jari Warren Buffett, wanda yana daya daga cikin wadanda ake girmamawa a duniya, ya dade yana kiran Bitcoin a matsayin “gubar bera mai ninki biyu” da kuma “rudu.” Duk da haka, tun daga wancan lokacin a matsayinsa na mai kallo, kasuwar crypto ta ci gaba da bunkasa, inda ta zama masana'antar da darajarta ta kai dala tiriliyan 2, wacce ke jawo hankalin manyan masu saka jari na hukumomi da biliyoyin kudaden jari akai-akai.

Lokacin da kasar El Salvador ta mayar da Bitcoin a matsayin halattaccen kudin ciniki a shekarar 2021, wasu manazarta sun yi hasashen cewa kasashe da dama za su bi sahunsu, musamman kasashen G20. Sai dai, har zuwa shekarar 2025, wannan gwajin ya tsaya ne kawai a El Salvador, domin babu wata babbar kasa da ta bi sahunsu.

Amma hasashen hukumomin yana da wani dogon tarihin canjin ra'ayi a hankali. Da fari, bankuna da hukumomin tsara dokoki sun dauki crypto a matsayin wata dabarar yaudara ko kuma hanyar halatta kudaden haram. Yayin da fasahar ta bunkasa kuma karbuwarta ta karu, yawancin wadannan hukumomin sun fara nazarin yadda za su yi amfani da blockchain a ayyukansu na yau da kullum. Wasu ma sun kaddamar da nasu kudaden na dijital (tokens) ko kuma sun hada gwiwa da kamfanonin crypto. Wannan tafiya daga shakka zuwa amincewa ta fuskanci kalubale da dama da kuma damammakin da aka rasa.

## Rugujewar Terra-Luna — Yadda Stablecoins Suka Zama Kamar Mafarki

Ba a dade ba, ana kallon stablecoins a matsayin mafita ga matsalar rashin tabbas na farashin crypto, sannan algorithmic stablecoins, kamar TerraUSD (UST), sun yi alkawarin kawo sabon zamani na daidaiton farashi. Tsarin Terra-Luna ya ruguje a shekarar 2022 lokacin da UST ya rasa darajarsa idan aka kwatanta da dalar Amurka, wanda hakan ya yi sanadiyyar asarar sama da dala biliyan 45 daga kasuwa tare da haifar da rudani a daukacin masana'antar.

Rugujewar Terra-Luna ta ruguza abin da masu sharhi da dama suka bayyana a matsayin "hasashe mai kyau" na cewa wadannan suna da alaka da jigon tsarin kudi na DeFi (decentralized finance); wato algorithmic stablecoins.

![](https://netts.io/blog/articles/predictions-that-never-came-true-in-the-world-of-crypto/images/1_3.png)

Rugujewar Terra-Luna ba kawai ta shafi fannin kudi ba ne, har ma da wani lamari ne na tunani ga daukacin al'ummar crypto. Stablecoins sun kasance mafaka na tsawon shekaru, hanyar tsira daga hawa da saukar farashin kasuwa. UST ta ruguza wannan rudun sannan ta sanya mu sake yin tunani kan abin da daidaito yake nufi a zahiri a kadarorin dijital. Hakan ya kuma janyo hankalin masu kula da dokoki da kuma gabatar da sabbin shawarwari masu yawa kan yadda za a tabbatar da daidaiton stablecoins da ake ta tallatawa.

## Hikimar Jama'a (da Rashinta): Ra'ayin Gaba Daya

Baya ga dukkan hasashen shahararrun mutane da na hukumomi, yanayin da al'ummar crypto ke ciki ya kasance na habaka da rugujewa (a zahiri), rashin tabbas, da kuma kai-komo tsakanin murna mara dalili da kuma fidda rai. Yarjejeniyar ita ce koyaushe cewa a lokacin da kasuwa ke tashi (bullish), farashi zai ci gaba da tafiya sama ne kawai, sannan a lokacin da kasuwa ke faduwa (bearish) – sai dai damuwa da fargaba. Wadannan sauye-sauyen sukan faru ba tare da hayaniya sosai ba, sannan kafofin sada zumunta suna kara rura wutar wadannan sauye-sauyen, wanda hakan ke saukaka yaduwar tunanin taro da kuma sa hasashe marasa kyau yaduwa kamar wutar daji.

Amma, hikimar da aka saba da ita ta sha yin kuskure game da kasuwar akai-akai. "Flippening" bai faru ba. Bitcoin bai kai dala miliyan 1 ba. Gwamnatocin kasashe sun yi jinkirin karbar crypto. Sannan wasu daga cikin ayyukan da ake ganin ba za su taba tsayawa ba — kamar Terra-Luna — sun ruguje zuwa sifiri cikin dare daya. Darasin? Abin sani kawai da za ka iya dogara da shi a harkar crypto shi ne ba za ka iya dogara da komai ba.

Tunanin taro ya yadu sosai kuma yana samun gindin zama cikin sauri a harkar crypto. Yawancin sauye-sauyen da ake samu a kasuwa suna faruwa ne sakamakon FOMO (tsoron a barka a baya) da kuma FUD (tsoro, rashin tabbas, da shakka).

Jita-jita, da kuma hasashen da galibi ke biyo bayansu, suna bazuwa cikin sauri fiye da ruwa a rariya, kuma kusan ba su da wani tabbataccen tushe a cikin gaskiya. Wuri ne da ke ba da lada ga jarumta sannan ya hukunta jinkiri, amma kuma yana kara girman kananan kura-kurai sannan yana iya samar da damammakin da ba a taba tsammani ba.

Hasashe sun bunkasa daidai lokacin da masana'antar crypto ta balaga. Idan aka kwatanta da yau, inda manazarta ke da damar yin amfani da ingantattun kayan aiki da bayanai na zamani, hasashen farko ba su da komai face fata da kuma tallace-tallace masu rudarwa. Duk da haka, ainihin dabi'ar kasuwar ba za ta gushe ba. Ko da samfuran da aka tsara cikin taka-tsantsan za su iya rugujewa sakamakon abubuwan da ba a taba tsammani ba (black swan events), sauye-sauyen ka'idoji, da kuma gagarumin ci gaba na fasaha.

Fage guda daya inda hasashe ke ci gaba da yin kuskure shi ne: ka'idoji. Shekaru da dama, masana suna cewa nan ba da dadewa ba za a samu bayyanannun ka'idoji kan kudaden crypto a duniya baki daya. Amma ko da yake muna kusantar farkon shekarar 2025, lokacin da masana da yawa suka yi hasashen fasahar za ta bunkasa sannan ta kasance a cikin tsarin ka'idoji mai karfi, lamarin ya kasance cakuda-cakuda na hanyoyi daban-daban dangane da kasa. Kuma wannan rashin tabbas da ake ci gaba da samu ya taimaka wajen ci gaba da tsara kasuwar ta hanyoyin da suka daure wa wadanda ke kokarin hango makomarta kai.

Zaren karshe na gama-gari shi ne batun karbuwa ga jama'a baki daya. Akai-akai ana maimaita hasashen kowace shekara, cewa crypto zai bunkasa a karshe kuma biliyoyin mutane za su yi amfani da shi, ya kai darajar tiriliyoyin daloli, da sauransu. Karbuwar na iya karuwa, amma yanayin ya fi haka sarkakiya. Saukin amfani, tsaro, da ka'idoji suna baya, kuma karbuwar tsarin kudi ga jama'a baki daya ya bayyana a matsayin abu mai nisa, kuma mai sarkakiya, fiye da yadda mutane da yawa suka yi tsammani.

## Kasuwar Makamashi ta TRON: Misali na Amfani a Rayuwar Yau da Kullum

Duk da girman kan hasashe da dama da suka gaza, crypto hakika ya cika wasu alkawura. Misali, yi la'akari da Kasuwar Makamashi a cikin tsarin TRON. Wannan ya ba masu amfani damar biyan kuɗin ayyukansu na blockchain cikin inganci da rahusa fiye da idan suna amfani da asalin token na TRON. Masu amfani za su iya samun damar yin amfani da albarkatun da aka tara (pooled resources) maimakon ƙone TRX ga kowane ciniki, wanda hakan ke rage tsada kuma yana ba da damar samun sauƙi mai girma.

Ga masu haɓaka manhaja da kamfanoni, ya zama ɗaya daga cikin mafita mafi kyau da ƙarfi don yin hayar Makamashi (Energy) a kan TRON. Wannan fasalin na musamman ya ba TRON damar bambanta kanta da sauran masu fafatawa da ita tare da nuna fa'idodin fasahar blockchain a zahiri.

A lokacin da abin da ake kira hasashe na gaskiya ma zai iya gazawa, yana da daɗi koyaushe a sami mafita ba tare da kiyasin zato ba.

![](https://netts.io/blog/articles/predictions-that-never-came-true-in-the-world-of-crypto/images/1_4.png)

Tare da Netts.io, za ka iya yin hayar Makamashi a kan TRON kuma ka shiga Kasuwar Makamashi ta TRON cikin sauƙi. Yana ba da damar tura makamashi ta atomatik tare da tsarin jadawali mai kyau, bin diddigi kai tsaye, da fasalulluka na rage tsada. Samun damar API na ƙwararru, tsaro matakin kamfani, da cikakken tsarin sarrafa kuɗi ga masu haɓaka manhaja da kamfanoni baki ɗaya — duka a wuri guda.

Dashboard ɗin Wurin Aiki (Workspace Dashboard) yana aiki ne a matsayin cibiyar ba da umarni ga duk wani abu da kake buƙatar sani game da makamashi, gami da nazari (analytics), rahotanni, da tsarin tura abokai (referral program). Shiga ta Google/Telegram, tallafin adireshi da yawa, da saita hanyoyin atomatik don sake loda makamashi! Ka kawar da hanyoyin gargajiya na hannu, ka kawar da kiyasin zato – kawai sarrafa makamashi ba tare da tsayawa ba a kowane lokaci.